Keli Sensing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.40
| 603662 Stock | 51.21 4.66 10.01% |
Keli |
Keli Sensing Target Price Odds to finish below 46.40
The tendency of Keli Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 46.40 or more in 90 days |
| 51.21 | 90 days | 46.40 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keli Sensing to drop to 46.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Keli Sensing Technology probability density function shows the probability of Keli Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keli Sensing Technology price to stay between 46.40 and its current price of 51.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Keli Sensing has a beta of 0.58. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Keli Sensing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Keli Sensing Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Keli Sensing Technology has an alpha of 1.066, implying that it can generate a 1.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Keli Sensing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keli Sensing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keli Sensing Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Keli Sensing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keli Sensing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keli Sensing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keli Sensing Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keli Sensing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Keli Sensing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keli Sensing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keli Sensing Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keli Sensing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Keli Sensing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keli Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keli Sensing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keli Sensing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 282.5 M |
Keli Sensing Technical Analysis
Keli Sensing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keli Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keli Sensing Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keli Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keli Sensing Predictive Forecast Models
Keli Sensing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keli Sensing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keli Sensing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keli Sensing Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keli Sensing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keli Sensing Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keli Sensing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Keli Stock
Keli Sensing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keli Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keli with respect to the benefits of owning Keli Sensing security.