Youyou Foods (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.39
| 603697 Stock | 10.59 0.31 3.02% |
Youyou |
Youyou Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 11.39
The tendency of Youyou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.39 or more in 90 days |
| 10.59 | 90 days | 11.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Youyou Foods to move over 11.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Youyou Foods Co probability density function shows the probability of Youyou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Youyou Foods price to stay between its current price of 10.59 and 11.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Youyou Foods Co has a beta of -1.29. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Youyou Foods Co are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Youyou Foods is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Youyou Foods Co has an alpha of 1.0782, implying that it can generate a 1.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Youyou Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Youyou Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Youyou Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Youyou Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Youyou Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Youyou Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Youyou Foods Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Youyou Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Youyou Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Youyou Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Youyou Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Youyou Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Youyou Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Youyou Foods generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CEO Youzhong Lu, YouYou Foods Co., Ltd.s largest shareholder sees value of holdings go down 9.6 percent after recent drop - Simply Wall St |
Youyou Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Youyou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Youyou Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Youyou Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427.7 M |
Youyou Foods Technical Analysis
Youyou Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Youyou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Youyou Foods Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Youyou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Youyou Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Youyou Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Youyou Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Youyou Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Youyou Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Youyou Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Youyou Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Youyou Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Youyou Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Youyou Foods generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CEO Youzhong Lu, YouYou Foods Co., Ltd.s largest shareholder sees value of holdings go down 9.6 percent after recent drop - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Youyou Stock
Youyou Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Youyou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Youyou with respect to the benefits of owning Youyou Foods security.