Eastroc Beverage (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 217.44

605499 Stock   212.92  1.42  0.67%   
Eastroc Beverage's future price is the expected price of Eastroc Beverage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eastroc Beverage Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eastroc Beverage Backtesting, Eastroc Beverage Valuation, Eastroc Beverage Correlation, Eastroc Beverage Hype Analysis, Eastroc Beverage Volatility, Eastroc Beverage History as well as Eastroc Beverage Performance.
  
Please specify Eastroc Beverage's target price for which you would like Eastroc Beverage odds to be computed.

Eastroc Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 217.44

The tendency of Eastroc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  217.44  after 90 days
 212.92 90 days 217.44 
about 80.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eastroc Beverage to stay under  217.44  after 90 days from now is about 80.82 (This Eastroc Beverage Group probability density function shows the probability of Eastroc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eastroc Beverage price to stay between its current price of  212.92  and  217.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eastroc Beverage Group has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eastroc Beverage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eastroc Beverage Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eastroc Beverage Group has an alpha of 0.3023, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eastroc Beverage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eastroc Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastroc Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
209.15211.49213.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
170.20172.54232.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
216.60218.94221.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eastroc Beverage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eastroc Beverage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eastroc Beverage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eastroc Beverage.

Eastroc Beverage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eastroc Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eastroc Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eastroc Beverage Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eastroc Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
20.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Eastroc Beverage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eastroc Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eastroc Beverage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Eastroc Beverage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eastroc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eastroc Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastroc Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400 M

Eastroc Beverage Technical Analysis

Eastroc Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eastroc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eastroc Beverage Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eastroc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eastroc Beverage Predictive Forecast Models

Eastroc Beverage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eastroc Beverage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eastroc Beverage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eastroc Beverage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eastroc Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eastroc Beverage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Eastroc Stock

Eastroc Beverage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eastroc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eastroc with respect to the benefits of owning Eastroc Beverage security.