Aker Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.1
| 6174 Stock | TWD 25.30 3.45 12.00% |
Aker |
Aker Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 28.1
The tendency of Aker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 28.10 after 90 days |
| 25.30 | 90 days | 28.10 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aker Technology to stay under NT$ 28.10 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Aker Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Aker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aker Technology price to stay between its current price of NT$ 25.30 and NT$ 28.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aker Technology has a beta of 0.69. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aker Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aker Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aker Technology Co has an alpha of 0.458, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aker Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aker Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aker Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aker Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aker Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aker Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aker Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Aker Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aker Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aker Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aker Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Aker Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aker Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aker Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M |
Aker Technology Technical Analysis
Aker Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aker Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aker Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Aker Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aker Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aker Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aker Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aker Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aker Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aker Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Aker Stock Analysis
When running Aker Technology's price analysis, check to measure Aker Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aker Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Aker Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aker Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aker Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aker Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.