Aiptek International (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.42
| 6225 Stock | TWD 15.70 0.50 3.09% |
Aiptek |
Aiptek International Target Price Odds to finish below 13.42
The tendency of Aiptek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 13.42 or more in 90 days |
| 15.70 | 90 days | 13.42 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aiptek International to drop to NT$ 13.42 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aiptek International probability density function shows the probability of Aiptek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aiptek International price to stay between NT$ 13.42 and its current price of NT$15.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aiptek International has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aiptek International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aiptek International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aiptek International has an alpha of 0.0381, implying that it can generate a 0.0381 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aiptek International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aiptek International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aiptek International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aiptek International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aiptek International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aiptek International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aiptek International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aiptek International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Aiptek International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aiptek International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aiptek International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has NT$1.84 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.49 M. | |
| Aiptek International has accumulated about 5.5 M in cash with (8.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Aiptek International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aiptek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aiptek International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aiptek International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.7 M |
Aiptek International Technical Analysis
Aiptek International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aiptek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aiptek International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aiptek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aiptek International Predictive Forecast Models
Aiptek International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aiptek International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aiptek International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aiptek International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aiptek International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aiptek International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has NT$1.84 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.49 M. | |
| Aiptek International has accumulated about 5.5 M in cash with (8.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Aiptek Stock Analysis
When running Aiptek International's price analysis, check to measure Aiptek International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aiptek International is operating at the current time. Most of Aiptek International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aiptek International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aiptek International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aiptek International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.