Taiwan Taomee (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.2
| 6428 Stock | TWD 10.25 0.10 0.99% |
Taiwan |
Taiwan Taomee Target Price Odds to finish below 10.2
The tendency of Taiwan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 10.20 or more in 90 days |
| 10.25 | 90 days | 10.20 | about 59.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Taiwan Taomee to drop to NT$ 10.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.52 (This Taiwan Taomee Co probability density function shows the probability of Taiwan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Taiwan Taomee price to stay between NT$ 10.20 and its current price of NT$10.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Taiwan Taomee Co has a beta of -0.6. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Taiwan Taomee are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Taiwan Taomee Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Taiwan Taomee Co has an alpha of 0.2077, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Taiwan Taomee Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Taiwan Taomee
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taiwan Taomee. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Taiwan Taomee Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Taiwan Taomee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Taiwan Taomee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Taiwan Taomee Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Taiwan Taomee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Taiwan Taomee Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Taiwan Taomee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Taiwan Taomee can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Taiwan Taomee has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (19.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Taiwan Taomee Co has accumulated about 167.41 M in cash with (15.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.47. |
Taiwan Taomee Technical Analysis
Taiwan Taomee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Taiwan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Taiwan Taomee Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Taiwan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Taiwan Taomee Predictive Forecast Models
Taiwan Taomee's time-series forecasting models is one of many Taiwan Taomee's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Taiwan Taomee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Taiwan Taomee
Checking the ongoing alerts about Taiwan Taomee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Taiwan Taomee help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Taiwan Taomee has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (19.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Taiwan Taomee Co has accumulated about 167.41 M in cash with (15.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.47. |
Additional Tools for Taiwan Stock Analysis
When running Taiwan Taomee's price analysis, check to measure Taiwan Taomee's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taiwan Taomee is operating at the current time. Most of Taiwan Taomee's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taiwan Taomee's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taiwan Taomee's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taiwan Taomee to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.