General Interface (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.76

6456 Stock  TWD 52.90  2.00  3.93%   
General Interface's future price is the expected price of General Interface instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General Interface Solution performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General Interface Backtesting, General Interface Valuation, General Interface Correlation, General Interface Hype Analysis, General Interface Volatility, General Interface History as well as General Interface Performance.
  
Please specify General Interface's target price for which you would like General Interface odds to be computed.

General Interface Target Price Odds to finish below 52.76

The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 52.76  or more in 90 days
 52.90 90 days 52.76 
roughly 2.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Interface to drop to NT$ 52.76  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.1 (This General Interface Solution probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Interface price to stay between NT$ 52.76  and its current price of NT$52.9 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon General Interface has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, General Interface average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Interface Solution will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Interface Solution has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   General Interface Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General Interface

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Interface. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.2152.9054.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8954.5856.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.1749.8651.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.3552.2354.12
Details

General Interface Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Interface is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Interface's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Interface Solution, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Interface within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

General Interface Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Interface for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Interface can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General Interface generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

General Interface Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Interface's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Interface's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding337.9 M

General Interface Technical Analysis

General Interface's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Interface Solution. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General Interface Predictive Forecast Models

General Interface's time-series forecasting models is one of many General Interface's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Interface's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about General Interface

Checking the ongoing alerts about General Interface for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Interface help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General Interface generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for General Stock Analysis

When running General Interface's price analysis, check to measure General Interface's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Interface is operating at the current time. Most of General Interface's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Interface's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Interface's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Interface to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.