Sun Max (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.87

6591 Stock   53.00  2.00  3.92%   
Sun Max's future price is the expected price of Sun Max instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sun Max Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sun Max Backtesting, Sun Max Valuation, Sun Max Correlation, Sun Max Hype Analysis, Sun Max Volatility, Sun Max History as well as Sun Max Performance.
  
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Sun Max Target Price Odds to finish below 49.87

The tendency of Sun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  49.87  or more in 90 days
 53.00 90 days 49.87 
about 45.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sun Max to drop to  49.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.84 (This Sun Max Tech probability density function shows the probability of Sun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sun Max Tech price to stay between  49.87  and its current price of 53.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sun Max has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sun Max average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sun Max Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sun Max Tech has an alpha of 0.1482, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sun Max Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sun Max

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Max Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.3253.0054.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.9551.6253.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.2052.8754.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.4552.3354.22
Details

Sun Max Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sun Max is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sun Max's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sun Max Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sun Max within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Sun Max Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sun Max for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sun Max Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sun Max Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sun Max's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Max's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.1 M

Sun Max Technical Analysis

Sun Max's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sun Max Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sun Max Predictive Forecast Models

Sun Max's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sun Max's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sun Max's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sun Max Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sun Max for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sun Max Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Sun Stock Analysis

When running Sun Max's price analysis, check to measure Sun Max's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Max is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Max's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Max's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Max's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Max to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.