Information Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.65

6697 Stock   46.60  0.20  0.43%   
Information Technology's future price is the expected price of Information Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Information Technology Total performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Information Technology's target price for which you would like Information Technology odds to be computed.

Information Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 47.65

The tendency of Information Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  47.65  after 90 days
 46.60 90 days 47.65 
about 77.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Information Technology to stay under  47.65  after 90 days from now is about 77.32 (This Information Technology Total probability density function shows the probability of Information Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Information Technology price to stay between its current price of  46.60  and  47.65  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Information Technology has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Information Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Information Technology Total will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Information Technology Total has an alpha of 0.1193, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Information Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Information Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Information Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3446.6048.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2039.4651.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.1346.4048.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.8146.5949.37
Details

Information Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Information Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Information Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Information Technology Total, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Information Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Information Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Information Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Information Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Information Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Information Technology Technical Analysis

Information Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Information Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Information Technology Total. In general, you should focus on analyzing Information Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Information Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Information Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Information Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Information Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Information Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Information Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Information Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Information Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Additional Tools for Information Stock Analysis

When running Information Technology's price analysis, check to measure Information Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Information Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Information Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Information Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Information Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Information Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.