AMPACS Corp (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.49
| 6743 Stock | TWD 43.80 2.85 6.11% |
AMPACS |
AMPACS Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 47.49
The tendency of AMPACS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 47.49 or more in 90 days |
| 43.80 | 90 days | 47.49 | about 84.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMPACS Corp to move over NT$ 47.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.27 (This AMPACS Corp probability density function shows the probability of AMPACS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMPACS Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 43.80 and NT$ 47.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AMPACS Corp has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMPACS Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMPACS Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AMPACS Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AMPACS Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMPACS Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMPACS Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMPACS Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMPACS Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMPACS Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMPACS Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMPACS Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
AMPACS Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMPACS Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMPACS Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMPACS Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMPACS Corp has accumulated 859.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.21, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AMPACS Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMPACS Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMPACS Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMPACS Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMPACS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMPACS Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 5.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (49.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 670.88 M. | |
| AMPACS Corp has accumulated about 596.55 M in cash with (860.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.98. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of AMPACS Corp shares are owned by insiders or employees |
AMPACS Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMPACS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMPACS Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMPACS Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M |
AMPACS Corp Technical Analysis
AMPACS Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMPACS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMPACS Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMPACS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMPACS Corp Predictive Forecast Models
AMPACS Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMPACS Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMPACS Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMPACS Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMPACS Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMPACS Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AMPACS Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMPACS Corp has accumulated 859.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.21, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AMPACS Corp has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMPACS Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMPACS Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMPACS Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMPACS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMPACS Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 5.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (49.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 670.88 M. | |
| AMPACS Corp has accumulated about 596.55 M in cash with (860.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.98. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of AMPACS Corp shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for AMPACS Stock Analysis
When running AMPACS Corp's price analysis, check to measure AMPACS Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMPACS Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AMPACS Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMPACS Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMPACS Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMPACS Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.