Kunshan Guoli (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.61
| 688103 Stock | 42.60 0.49 1.16% |
Kunshan |
Kunshan Guoli Target Price Odds to finish over 46.61
The tendency of Kunshan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 46.61 or more in 90 days |
| 42.60 | 90 days | 46.61 | about 11.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kunshan Guoli to move over 46.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.71 (This Kunshan Guoli Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Kunshan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kunshan Guoli Electronic price to stay between its current price of 42.60 and 46.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kunshan Guoli Electronic has a beta of -0.6. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kunshan Guoli are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kunshan Guoli Electronic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kunshan Guoli Electronic has an alpha of 0.6837, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kunshan Guoli Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kunshan Guoli
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kunshan Guoli Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kunshan Guoli Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kunshan Guoli is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kunshan Guoli's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kunshan Guoli Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kunshan Guoli within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Kunshan Guoli Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kunshan Guoli for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kunshan Guoli Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kunshan Guoli appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kunshan Guoli is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Stocks Insiders Are Betting On - Yahoo Finance UK |
Kunshan Guoli Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kunshan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kunshan Guoli's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kunshan Guoli's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.9 M |
Kunshan Guoli Technical Analysis
Kunshan Guoli's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kunshan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kunshan Guoli Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kunshan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kunshan Guoli Predictive Forecast Models
Kunshan Guoli's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kunshan Guoli's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kunshan Guoli's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kunshan Guoli Electronic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kunshan Guoli for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kunshan Guoli Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kunshan Guoli appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kunshan Guoli is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Stocks Insiders Are Betting On - Yahoo Finance UK |
Other Information on Investing in Kunshan Stock
Kunshan Guoli financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kunshan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kunshan with respect to the benefits of owning Kunshan Guoli security.