Zhejiang HISUN (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.33

688203 Stock   10.83  0.14  1.31%   
Zhejiang HISUN's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang HISUN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang HISUN Backtesting, Zhejiang HISUN Valuation, Zhejiang HISUN Correlation, Zhejiang HISUN Hype Analysis, Zhejiang HISUN Volatility, Zhejiang HISUN History as well as Zhejiang HISUN Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang HISUN's target price for which you would like Zhejiang HISUN odds to be computed.

Zhejiang HISUN Target Price Odds to finish over 19.33

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.33  or more in 90 days
 10.83 90 days 19.33 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang HISUN to move over  19.33  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang HISUN Bioma price to stay between its current price of  10.83  and  19.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials has a beta of -0.79. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhejiang HISUN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials has an alpha of 0.6021, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhejiang HISUN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang HISUN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang HISUN Bioma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.2510.7014.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.038.4811.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.2010.6514.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9810.4510.92
Details

Zhejiang HISUN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang HISUN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang HISUN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang HISUN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Zhejiang HISUN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang HISUN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang HISUN Bioma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang HISUN Bioma appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Zhejiang HISUN Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang HISUN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang HISUN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding202.7 M

Zhejiang HISUN Technical Analysis

Zhejiang HISUN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang HISUN Biomaterials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang HISUN Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang HISUN's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang HISUN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang HISUN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang HISUN Bioma

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang HISUN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang HISUN Bioma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang HISUN Bioma appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang HISUN financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang HISUN security.