Shanghai OPM (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.93

688293 Stock   46.16  2.16  4.91%   
Shanghai OPM's future price is the expected price of Shanghai OPM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shanghai OPM Biosciences performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shanghai OPM Backtesting, Shanghai OPM Valuation, Shanghai OPM Correlation, Shanghai OPM Hype Analysis, Shanghai OPM Volatility, Shanghai OPM History as well as Shanghai OPM Performance.
  
Please specify Shanghai OPM's target price for which you would like Shanghai OPM odds to be computed.

Shanghai OPM Target Price Odds to finish below 41.93

The tendency of Shanghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  41.93  or more in 90 days
 46.16 90 days 41.93 
about 86.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shanghai OPM to drop to  41.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.61 (This Shanghai OPM Biosciences probability density function shows the probability of Shanghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shanghai OPM Biosciences price to stay between  41.93  and its current price of 46.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shanghai OPM Biosciences has a beta of -1.26. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Shanghai OPM Biosciences are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Shanghai OPM is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Shanghai OPM Biosciences has an alpha of 1.1005, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shanghai OPM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shanghai OPM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai OPM Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.1044.3749.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6033.8750.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.2544.5249.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.2843.9346.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai OPM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai OPM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai OPM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai OPM Biosciences.

Shanghai OPM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shanghai OPM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shanghai OPM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shanghai OPM Biosciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shanghai OPM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.26
σ
Overall volatility
7.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Shanghai OPM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shanghai OPM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shanghai OPM Biosciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shanghai OPM is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Shanghai OPM appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Shanghai OPM is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three High Growth Companies With Significant Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St

Shanghai OPM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shanghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shanghai OPM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai OPM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.8 M

Shanghai OPM Technical Analysis

Shanghai OPM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shanghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shanghai OPM Biosciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shanghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shanghai OPM Predictive Forecast Models

Shanghai OPM's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shanghai OPM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shanghai OPM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shanghai OPM Biosciences

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shanghai OPM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shanghai OPM Biosciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shanghai OPM is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Shanghai OPM appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Shanghai OPM is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three High Growth Companies With Significant Insider Ownership - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai OPM financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai OPM security.