Zhejiang Orient (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.66

688298 Stock   32.39  0.27  0.83%   
Zhejiang Orient's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang Orient instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang Orient Gene performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang Orient Backtesting, Zhejiang Orient Valuation, Zhejiang Orient Correlation, Zhejiang Orient Hype Analysis, Zhejiang Orient Volatility, Zhejiang Orient History as well as Zhejiang Orient Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang Orient's target price for which you would like Zhejiang Orient odds to be computed.

Zhejiang Orient Target Price Odds to finish below 32.66

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  32.66  after 90 days
 32.39 90 days 32.66 
about 65.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Orient to stay under  32.66  after 90 days from now is about 65.38 (This Zhejiang Orient Gene probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhejiang Orient Gene price to stay between its current price of  32.39  and  32.66  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Orient Gene has a beta of -0.57. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhejiang Orient are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhejiang Orient Gene is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhejiang Orient Gene has an alpha of 0.3479, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhejiang Orient Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Orient

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Orient Gene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.5232.6636.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2827.4235.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Orient. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Orient's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Orient's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Orient Gene.

Zhejiang Orient Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Orient is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Orient's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Orient Gene, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Orient within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.57
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Zhejiang Orient Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Orient for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Orient Gene can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Orient Gene had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 820.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (397.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.61 B.
Zhejiang Orient generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Zhejiang Orient Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Orient's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Orient's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.6 M

Zhejiang Orient Technical Analysis

Zhejiang Orient's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Orient Gene. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang Orient Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang Orient's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Orient's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Orient's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang Orient Gene

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Orient for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Orient Gene help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Orient Gene had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 820.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (397.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.61 B.
Zhejiang Orient generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Orient financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Orient security.