Qingdao NovelBeam (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.66
| 688677 Stock | 35.83 0.39 1.08% |
Qingdao |
Qingdao NovelBeam Target Price Odds to finish below 34.66
The tendency of Qingdao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 34.66 or more in 90 days |
| 35.83 | 90 days | 34.66 | about 68.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qingdao NovelBeam to drop to 34.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.36 (This Qingdao NovelBeam Technology probability density function shows the probability of Qingdao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qingdao NovelBeam price to stay between 34.66 and its current price of 35.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qingdao NovelBeam Technology has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qingdao NovelBeam are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qingdao NovelBeam Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qingdao NovelBeam Technology has an alpha of 0.4012, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qingdao NovelBeam Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qingdao NovelBeam
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qingdao NovelBeam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qingdao NovelBeam Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qingdao NovelBeam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qingdao NovelBeam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qingdao NovelBeam Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qingdao NovelBeam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Qingdao NovelBeam Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qingdao NovelBeam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qingdao NovelBeam can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qingdao NovelBeam appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Qingdao NovelBeam Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qingdao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qingdao NovelBeam's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qingdao NovelBeam's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.6 M |
Qingdao NovelBeam Technical Analysis
Qingdao NovelBeam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qingdao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qingdao NovelBeam Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qingdao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qingdao NovelBeam Predictive Forecast Models
Qingdao NovelBeam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qingdao NovelBeam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qingdao NovelBeam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qingdao NovelBeam
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qingdao NovelBeam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qingdao NovelBeam help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qingdao NovelBeam appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Qingdao Stock
Qingdao NovelBeam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qingdao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qingdao with respect to the benefits of owning Qingdao NovelBeam security.