Liaoning Chengda (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.66

688739 Stock   26.96  0.36  1.35%   
Liaoning Chengda's future price is the expected price of Liaoning Chengda instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Liaoning Chengda Backtesting, Liaoning Chengda Valuation, Liaoning Chengda Correlation, Liaoning Chengda Hype Analysis, Liaoning Chengda Volatility, Liaoning Chengda History as well as Liaoning Chengda Performance.
  
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Liaoning Chengda Target Price Odds to finish over 29.66

The tendency of Liaoning Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  29.66  or more in 90 days
 26.96 90 days 29.66 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liaoning Chengda to move over  29.66  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology probability density function shows the probability of Liaoning Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liaoning Chengda Bio price to stay between its current price of  26.96  and  29.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology has a beta of -0.54. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liaoning Chengda are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology has an alpha of 0.2611, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Liaoning Chengda Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liaoning Chengda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liaoning Chengda Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9926.9629.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5222.4929.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.5526.5229.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.1727.6029.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Liaoning Chengda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Liaoning Chengda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Liaoning Chengda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Liaoning Chengda Bio.

Liaoning Chengda Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liaoning Chengda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liaoning Chengda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liaoning Chengda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
2.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Liaoning Chengda Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liaoning Chengda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liaoning Chengda Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liaoning Chengda Bio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Liaoning Chengda Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liaoning Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liaoning Chengda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liaoning Chengda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding416.4 M

Liaoning Chengda Technical Analysis

Liaoning Chengda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liaoning Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liaoning Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liaoning Chengda Predictive Forecast Models

Liaoning Chengda's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liaoning Chengda's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liaoning Chengda's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liaoning Chengda Bio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liaoning Chengda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liaoning Chengda Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liaoning Chengda Bio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Liaoning Stock

Liaoning Chengda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liaoning Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liaoning with respect to the benefits of owning Liaoning Chengda security.