Collins Foods (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.94
| 6CF Stock | EUR 5.30 0.05 0.95% |
Collins |
Collins Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 4.94
The tendency of Collins Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.94 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 4.94 | about 40.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Collins Foods to drop to € 4.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.32 (This Collins Foods Limited probability density function shows the probability of Collins Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Collins Foods Limited price to stay between € 4.94 and its current price of €5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Collins Foods has a beta of 0.91. This suggests Collins Foods Limited market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Collins Foods is expected to follow. Additionally Collins Foods Limited has an alpha of 0.1201, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Collins Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Collins Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Collins Foods Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Collins Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Collins Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Collins Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Collins Foods Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Collins Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Collins Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Collins Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Collins Foods Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Collins Foods Limited has accumulated 270.99 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Collins Foods Limited has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Collins Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Collins Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Collins Foods Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Collins to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Collins Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Collins Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Collins Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Collins Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Collins Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.7 M |
Collins Foods Technical Analysis
Collins Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Collins Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Collins Foods Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Collins Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Collins Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Collins Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Collins Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Collins Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Collins Foods Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Collins Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Collins Foods Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Collins Foods Limited has accumulated 270.99 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Collins Foods Limited has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Collins Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Collins Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Collins Foods Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Collins to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Collins Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Collins Stock
Collins Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Collins Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Collins with respect to the benefits of owning Collins Foods security.