EURASIAN MINERALS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.55

6E9 Stock  EUR 1.61  0.00  0.00%   
EURASIAN MINERALS's future price is the expected price of EURASIAN MINERALS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EURASIAN MINERALS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EURASIAN MINERALS Backtesting, EURASIAN MINERALS Valuation, EURASIAN MINERALS Correlation, EURASIAN MINERALS Hype Analysis, EURASIAN MINERALS Volatility, EURASIAN MINERALS History as well as EURASIAN MINERALS Performance.
  
Please specify EURASIAN MINERALS's target price for which you would like EURASIAN MINERALS odds to be computed.

EURASIAN MINERALS Target Price Odds to finish below 1.55

The tendency of EURASIAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 1.55  or more in 90 days
 1.61 90 days 1.55 
about 1.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EURASIAN MINERALS to drop to € 1.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.54 (This EURASIAN MINERALS probability density function shows the probability of EURASIAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EURASIAN MINERALS price to stay between € 1.55  and its current price of €1.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EURASIAN MINERALS has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EURASIAN MINERALS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EURASIAN MINERALS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EURASIAN MINERALS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EURASIAN MINERALS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EURASIAN MINERALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EURASIAN MINERALS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.271.612.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.402.74
Details

EURASIAN MINERALS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EURASIAN MINERALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EURASIAN MINERALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EURASIAN MINERALS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EURASIAN MINERALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

EURASIAN MINERALS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EURASIAN MINERALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EURASIAN MINERALS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EURASIAN MINERALS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EURASIAN MINERALS may become a speculative penny stock
EURASIAN MINERALS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
EURASIAN MINERALS generates negative cash flow from operations

EURASIAN MINERALS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EURASIAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EURASIAN MINERALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EURASIAN MINERALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding105.4 M
Short Long Term Debt10.2 M

EURASIAN MINERALS Technical Analysis

EURASIAN MINERALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EURASIAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EURASIAN MINERALS. In general, you should focus on analyzing EURASIAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EURASIAN MINERALS Predictive Forecast Models

EURASIAN MINERALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many EURASIAN MINERALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EURASIAN MINERALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EURASIAN MINERALS

Checking the ongoing alerts about EURASIAN MINERALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EURASIAN MINERALS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EURASIAN MINERALS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EURASIAN MINERALS may become a speculative penny stock
EURASIAN MINERALS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
EURASIAN MINERALS generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for EURASIAN Stock Analysis

When running EURASIAN MINERALS's price analysis, check to measure EURASIAN MINERALS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EURASIAN MINERALS is operating at the current time. Most of EURASIAN MINERALS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EURASIAN MINERALS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EURASIAN MINERALS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EURASIAN MINERALS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.