Gamma Communications (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.20

6GC Stock  EUR 18.60  0.10  0.53%   
Gamma Communications' future price is the expected price of Gamma Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gamma Communications plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gamma Communications Backtesting, Gamma Communications Valuation, Gamma Communications Correlation, Gamma Communications Hype Analysis, Gamma Communications Volatility, Gamma Communications History as well as Gamma Communications Performance.
  
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Gamma Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 24.20

The tendency of Gamma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 24.20  or more in 90 days
 18.60 90 days 24.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gamma Communications to move over € 24.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gamma Communications plc probability density function shows the probability of Gamma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gamma Communications plc price to stay between its current price of € 18.60  and € 24.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gamma Communications has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Gamma Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gamma Communications plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gamma Communications plc has an alpha of 0.0365, implying that it can generate a 0.0365 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gamma Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gamma Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gamma Communications plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4818.6020.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1616.2820.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4618.5820.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4118.7519.09
Details

Gamma Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gamma Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gamma Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gamma Communications plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gamma Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Gamma Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gamma Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gamma Communications plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Gamma Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gamma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gamma Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gamma Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.3 M

Gamma Communications Technical Analysis

Gamma Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gamma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gamma Communications plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gamma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gamma Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Gamma Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gamma Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gamma Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gamma Communications plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gamma Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gamma Communications plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in Gamma Stock

Gamma Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gamma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gamma with respect to the benefits of owning Gamma Communications security.