Pilgrims Pride (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.6
| 6PP Stock | EUR 48.40 0.80 1.63% |
Pilgrims |
Pilgrims Pride Target Price Odds to finish below 45.6
The tendency of Pilgrims Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 45.60 or more in 90 days |
| 48.40 | 90 days | 45.60 | about 76.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pilgrims Pride to drop to € 45.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.81 (This Pilgrims Pride probability density function shows the probability of Pilgrims Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pilgrims Pride price to stay between € 45.60 and its current price of €48.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pilgrims Pride has a beta of 0.49. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pilgrims Pride average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pilgrims Pride will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pilgrims Pride has an alpha of 0.254, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pilgrims Pride Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pilgrims Pride
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pilgrims Pride. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pilgrims Pride Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pilgrims Pride is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pilgrims Pride's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pilgrims Pride, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pilgrims Pride within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Pilgrims Pride Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pilgrims Pride for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pilgrims Pride can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pilgrims Pride has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Pilgrims Pride Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pilgrims Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pilgrims Pride's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pilgrims Pride's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 236.5 M |
Pilgrims Pride Technical Analysis
Pilgrims Pride's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pilgrims Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pilgrims Pride. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pilgrims Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pilgrims Pride Predictive Forecast Models
Pilgrims Pride's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pilgrims Pride's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pilgrims Pride's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pilgrims Pride
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pilgrims Pride for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pilgrims Pride help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pilgrims Pride has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Pilgrims Stock
Pilgrims Pride financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pilgrims Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pilgrims with respect to the benefits of owning Pilgrims Pride security.