Pure Storage (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.32

6PU Stock  EUR 50.37  2.57  5.38%   
Pure Storage's future price is the expected price of Pure Storage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pure Storage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pure Storage Backtesting, Pure Storage Valuation, Pure Storage Correlation, Pure Storage Hype Analysis, Pure Storage Volatility, Pure Storage History as well as Pure Storage Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Pure Stock please use our How to Invest in Pure Storage guide.
  
Please specify Pure Storage's target price for which you would like Pure Storage odds to be computed.

Pure Storage Target Price Odds to finish below 46.32

The tendency of Pure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 46.32  or more in 90 days
 50.37 90 days 46.32 
about 41.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pure Storage to drop to € 46.32  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.1 (This Pure Storage probability density function shows the probability of Pure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pure Storage price to stay between € 46.32  and its current price of €50.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pure Storage has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pure Storage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pure Storage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pure Storage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pure Storage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pure Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pure Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.1650.3753.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.5943.8055.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.9651.1754.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.1447.7351.31
Details

Pure Storage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pure Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pure Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pure Storage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pure Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Pure Storage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pure Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pure Storage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pure Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pure Storage has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Pure Storage has accumulated €786.78 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 2.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (143.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Pure Storage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pure Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pure Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289.9 M

Pure Storage Technical Analysis

Pure Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pure Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pure Storage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pure Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pure Storage Predictive Forecast Models

Pure Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pure Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pure Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pure Storage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pure Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pure Storage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pure Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pure Storage has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Pure Storage has accumulated €786.78 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 2.18 B. Net Loss for the year was (143.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pure Stock

When determining whether Pure Storage is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pure Storage's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pure Storage's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pure Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pure Storage Backtesting, Pure Storage Valuation, Pure Storage Correlation, Pure Storage Hype Analysis, Pure Storage Volatility, Pure Storage History as well as Pure Storage Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Pure Stock please use our How to Invest in Pure Storage guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pure Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pure Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pure Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.