Globetronics Tech (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.56

7022 Stock   0.56  0.01  1.75%   
Globetronics Tech's future price is the expected price of Globetronics Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Globetronics Tech Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Globetronics Tech Backtesting, Globetronics Tech Valuation, Globetronics Tech Correlation, Globetronics Tech Hype Analysis, Globetronics Tech Volatility, Globetronics Tech History as well as Globetronics Tech Performance.
  
Please specify Globetronics Tech's target price for which you would like Globetronics Tech odds to be computed.

Globetronics Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 0.56

The tendency of Globetronics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.56 90 days 0.56 
about 31.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Globetronics Tech to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 31.16 (This Globetronics Tech Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Globetronics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Globetronics Tech has a beta of 0.49. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Globetronics Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Globetronics Tech Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Globetronics Tech Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Globetronics Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Globetronics Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globetronics Tech Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.575.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.504.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.595.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.560.58
Details

Globetronics Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Globetronics Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Globetronics Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Globetronics Tech Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Globetronics Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Globetronics Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Globetronics Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Globetronics Tech Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Globetronics Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Globetronics Tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Globetronics Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Globetronics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Globetronics Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globetronics Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding669.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments195.1 M

Globetronics Tech Technical Analysis

Globetronics Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Globetronics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Globetronics Tech Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Globetronics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Globetronics Tech Predictive Forecast Models

Globetronics Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Globetronics Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Globetronics Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Globetronics Tech Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Globetronics Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Globetronics Tech Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Globetronics Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Globetronics Tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Globetronics Stock

Globetronics Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Globetronics Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Globetronics with respect to the benefits of owning Globetronics Tech security.