DIVIDEND GROWTH (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.7

74G Stock  EUR 4.78  0.04  0.84%   
DIVIDEND GROWTH's future price is the expected price of DIVIDEND GROWTH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DIVIDEND GROWTH Backtesting, DIVIDEND GROWTH Valuation, DIVIDEND GROWTH Correlation, DIVIDEND GROWTH Hype Analysis, DIVIDEND GROWTH Volatility, DIVIDEND GROWTH History as well as DIVIDEND GROWTH Performance.
  
Please specify DIVIDEND GROWTH's target price for which you would like DIVIDEND GROWTH odds to be computed.

DIVIDEND GROWTH Target Price Odds to finish over 3.7

The tendency of DIVIDEND Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 3.70  in 90 days
 4.78 90 days 3.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DIVIDEND GROWTH to stay above € 3.70  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT probability density function shows the probability of DIVIDEND Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT price to stay between € 3.70  and its current price of €4.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon DIVIDEND GROWTH has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, DIVIDEND GROWTH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT has an alpha of 0.2884, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DIVIDEND GROWTH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DIVIDEND GROWTH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.824.787.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.983.946.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.684.647.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.174.554.93
Details

DIVIDEND GROWTH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DIVIDEND GROWTH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DIVIDEND GROWTH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DIVIDEND GROWTH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

DIVIDEND GROWTH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DIVIDEND GROWTH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DIVIDEND GROWTH has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 29.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.15 M.

DIVIDEND GROWTH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DIVIDEND Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DIVIDEND GROWTH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DIVIDEND GROWTH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.2619

DIVIDEND GROWTH Technical Analysis

DIVIDEND GROWTH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DIVIDEND Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing DIVIDEND Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DIVIDEND GROWTH Predictive Forecast Models

DIVIDEND GROWTH's time-series forecasting models is one of many DIVIDEND GROWTH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DIVIDEND GROWTH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about DIVIDEND GROWTH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DIVIDEND GROWTH has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 29.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.15 M.

Other Information on Investing in DIVIDEND Stock

DIVIDEND GROWTH financial ratios help investors to determine whether DIVIDEND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DIVIDEND with respect to the benefits of owning DIVIDEND GROWTH security.