ARMADA HOFFLER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.31
| 791 Stock | EUR 10.30 0.10 0.96% |
ARMADA |
ARMADA HOFFLER Target Price Odds to finish below 10.31
The tendency of ARMADA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 10.31 after 90 days |
| 10.30 | 90 days | 10.31 | about 76.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARMADA HOFFLER to stay under € 10.31 after 90 days from now is about 76.54 (This ARMADA HOFFLER PR probability density function shows the probability of ARMADA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ARMADA HOFFLER PR price to stay between its current price of € 10.30 and € 10.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ARMADA HOFFLER has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ARMADA HOFFLER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ARMADA HOFFLER PR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ARMADA HOFFLER PR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ARMADA HOFFLER Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ARMADA HOFFLER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARMADA HOFFLER PR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ARMADA HOFFLER Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARMADA HOFFLER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARMADA HOFFLER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARMADA HOFFLER PR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARMADA HOFFLER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0016 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ARMADA HOFFLER Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARMADA HOFFLER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARMADA HOFFLER PR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
ARMADA HOFFLER Technical Analysis
ARMADA HOFFLER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ARMADA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ARMADA HOFFLER PR. In general, you should focus on analyzing ARMADA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ARMADA HOFFLER Predictive Forecast Models
ARMADA HOFFLER's time-series forecasting models is one of many ARMADA HOFFLER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ARMADA HOFFLER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ARMADA HOFFLER PR
Checking the ongoing alerts about ARMADA HOFFLER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ARMADA HOFFLER PR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in ARMADA Stock
ARMADA HOFFLER financial ratios help investors to determine whether ARMADA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ARMADA with respect to the benefits of owning ARMADA HOFFLER security.