THARISA NON (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.94

7YZ Stock  EUR 0.80  0.01  1.27%   
THARISA NON's future price is the expected price of THARISA NON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of THARISA NON LIST performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out THARISA NON Backtesting, THARISA NON Valuation, THARISA NON Correlation, THARISA NON Hype Analysis, THARISA NON Volatility, THARISA NON History as well as THARISA NON Performance.
  
Please specify THARISA NON's target price for which you would like THARISA NON odds to be computed.

THARISA NON Target Price Odds to finish over 7.94

The tendency of THARISA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 7.94  or more in 90 days
 0.80 90 days 7.94 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of THARISA NON to move over € 7.94  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This THARISA NON LIST probability density function shows the probability of THARISA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of THARISA NON LIST price to stay between its current price of € 0.80  and € 7.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon THARISA NON LIST has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding THARISA NON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, THARISA NON LIST is likely to outperform the market. Additionally THARISA NON LIST has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   THARISA NON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for THARISA NON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THARISA NON LIST. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.803.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.673.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.783.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.480.811.13
Details

THARISA NON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. THARISA NON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the THARISA NON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold THARISA NON LIST, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of THARISA NON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

THARISA NON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of THARISA NON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for THARISA NON LIST can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
THARISA NON LIST generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
THARISA NON LIST has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

THARISA NON Technical Analysis

THARISA NON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. THARISA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of THARISA NON LIST. In general, you should focus on analyzing THARISA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

THARISA NON Predictive Forecast Models

THARISA NON's time-series forecasting models is one of many THARISA NON's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary THARISA NON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about THARISA NON LIST

Checking the ongoing alerts about THARISA NON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for THARISA NON LIST help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
THARISA NON LIST generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
THARISA NON LIST has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in THARISA Stock

THARISA NON financial ratios help investors to determine whether THARISA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in THARISA with respect to the benefits of owning THARISA NON security.