Computer Forms (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.65
| 8044 Stock | 0.12 0.01 9.09% |
Computer |
Computer Forms Target Price Odds to finish below 2.65
The tendency of Computer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.65 after 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 2.65 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Computer Forms to stay under 2.65 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Computer Forms Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Computer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Computer Forms Bhd price to stay between its current price of 0.12 and 2.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Computer Forms Bhd has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Computer Forms are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Computer Forms Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Computer Forms Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Computer Forms Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Computer Forms
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computer Forms Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Computer Forms Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Computer Forms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Computer Forms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Computer Forms Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Computer Forms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Computer Forms Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Computer Forms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Computer Forms Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Computer Forms Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Computer Forms generates negative cash flow from operations |
Computer Forms Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Computer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Computer Forms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Computer Forms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 41 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.3 M |
Computer Forms Technical Analysis
Computer Forms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Computer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Computer Forms Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Computer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Computer Forms Predictive Forecast Models
Computer Forms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Computer Forms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Computer Forms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Computer Forms Bhd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Computer Forms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Computer Forms Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Computer Forms Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Computer Forms Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Computer Forms generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Computer Stock
Computer Forms financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computer with respect to the benefits of owning Computer Forms security.