Global Mixed (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 224.63

8081 Stock  TWD 225.50  1.50  0.67%   
Global Mixed's future price is the expected price of Global Mixed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Mixed Mode Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Mixed Backtesting, Global Mixed Valuation, Global Mixed Correlation, Global Mixed Hype Analysis, Global Mixed Volatility, Global Mixed History as well as Global Mixed Performance.
  
Please specify Global Mixed's target price for which you would like Global Mixed odds to be computed.

Global Mixed Target Price Odds to finish over 224.63

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 224.63  in 90 days
 225.50 90 days 224.63 
about 56.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Mixed to stay above NT$ 224.63  in 90 days from now is about 56.96 (This Global Mixed Mode Technology probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Mixed Mode price to stay between NT$ 224.63  and its current price of NT$225.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Mixed has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Global Mixed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Mixed Mode Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Mixed Mode Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Mixed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Mixed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Mixed Mode. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
223.96225.50227.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
222.34223.88248.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
222.08223.62225.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
222.16225.30228.44
Details

Global Mixed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Mixed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Mixed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Mixed Mode Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Mixed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
6.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Global Mixed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Mixed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Mixed Mode can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Global Mixed Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Mixed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Mixed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.7 M

Global Mixed Technical Analysis

Global Mixed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Mixed Mode Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Mixed Predictive Forecast Models

Global Mixed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Mixed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Mixed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Mixed Mode

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Mixed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Mixed Mode help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis

When running Global Mixed's price analysis, check to measure Global Mixed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Mixed is operating at the current time. Most of Global Mixed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Mixed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Mixed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Mixed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.