Info Tek (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.8

8183 Stock  TWD 41.30  1.35  3.38%   
Info Tek's future price is the expected price of Info Tek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Info Tek performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Info Tek Backtesting, Info Tek Valuation, Info Tek Correlation, Info Tek Hype Analysis, Info Tek Volatility, Info Tek History as well as Info Tek Performance.
  
Please specify Info Tek's target price for which you would like Info Tek odds to be computed.

Info Tek Target Price Odds to finish over 39.8

The tendency of Info Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 39.80  in 90 days
 41.30 90 days 39.80 
about 59.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Info Tek to stay above NT$ 39.80  in 90 days from now is about 59.87 (This Info Tek probability density function shows the probability of Info Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Info Tek price to stay between NT$ 39.80  and its current price of NT$41.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Info Tek has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Info Tek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Info Tek will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Info Tek has an alpha of 0.1994, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Info Tek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Info Tek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Info Tek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7241.3043.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.3241.9044.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.7140.2942.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.0240.4241.82
Details

Info Tek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Info Tek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Info Tek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Info Tek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Info Tek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Info Tek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Info Tek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Info Tek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Info Tek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Info Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Info Tek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Info Tek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.3 M
Dividends Paid96.2 M
Short Long Term Debt633.9 M

Info Tek Technical Analysis

Info Tek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Info Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Info Tek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Info Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Info Tek Predictive Forecast Models

Info Tek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Info Tek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Info Tek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Info Tek

Checking the ongoing alerts about Info Tek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Info Tek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Info Stock Analysis

When running Info Tek's price analysis, check to measure Info Tek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Info Tek is operating at the current time. Most of Info Tek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Info Tek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Info Tek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Info Tek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.