Cleanaway (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 180.14

8422 Stock  TWD 181.00  1.00  0.55%   
Cleanaway's future price is the expected price of Cleanaway instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cleanaway Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cleanaway Backtesting, Cleanaway Valuation, Cleanaway Correlation, Cleanaway Hype Analysis, Cleanaway Volatility, Cleanaway History as well as Cleanaway Performance.
  
Please specify Cleanaway's target price for which you would like Cleanaway odds to be computed.

Cleanaway Target Price Odds to finish below 180.14

The tendency of Cleanaway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 180.14  or more in 90 days
 181.00 90 days 180.14 
roughly 2.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cleanaway to drop to NT$ 180.14  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.47 (This Cleanaway Co probability density function shows the probability of Cleanaway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cleanaway price to stay between NT$ 180.14  and its current price of NT$181.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cleanaway has a beta of 0.099. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cleanaway average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cleanaway Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cleanaway Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cleanaway Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cleanaway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cleanaway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
180.14181.00181.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.33179.19199.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
179.06179.92180.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
180.39181.33182.28
Details

Cleanaway Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cleanaway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cleanaway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cleanaway Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cleanaway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Cleanaway Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cleanaway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cleanaway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cleanaway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Cleanaway Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cleanaway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cleanaway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cleanaway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.9 M

Cleanaway Technical Analysis

Cleanaway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cleanaway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cleanaway Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cleanaway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cleanaway Predictive Forecast Models

Cleanaway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cleanaway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cleanaway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cleanaway

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cleanaway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cleanaway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cleanaway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Cleanaway Stock Analysis

When running Cleanaway's price analysis, check to measure Cleanaway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cleanaway is operating at the current time. Most of Cleanaway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cleanaway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cleanaway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cleanaway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.