Bonny Worldwide (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 218.82

8467 Stock  TWD 268.50  3.00  1.13%   
Bonny Worldwide's future price is the expected price of Bonny Worldwide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bonny Worldwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bonny Worldwide Backtesting, Bonny Worldwide Valuation, Bonny Worldwide Correlation, Bonny Worldwide Hype Analysis, Bonny Worldwide Volatility, Bonny Worldwide History as well as Bonny Worldwide Performance.
  
Please specify Bonny Worldwide's target price for which you would like Bonny Worldwide odds to be computed.

Bonny Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish over 218.82

The tendency of Bonny Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 218.82  in 90 days
 268.50 90 days 218.82 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bonny Worldwide to stay above NT$ 218.82  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Bonny Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Bonny Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bonny Worldwide price to stay between NT$ 218.82  and its current price of NT$268.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bonny Worldwide has a beta of -0.65. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bonny Worldwide are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bonny Worldwide is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bonny Worldwide has an alpha of 0.3846, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bonny Worldwide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bonny Worldwide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bonny Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
265.35268.50271.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
215.67218.82295.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
260.34263.49266.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
264.67267.50270.33
Details

Bonny Worldwide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bonny Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bonny Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bonny Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bonny Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.65
σ
Overall volatility
15.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Bonny Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bonny Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bonny Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bonny Worldwide had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Bonny Worldwide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bonny Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bonny Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bonny Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.5 M

Bonny Worldwide Technical Analysis

Bonny Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bonny Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bonny Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bonny Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bonny Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models

Bonny Worldwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bonny Worldwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bonny Worldwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bonny Worldwide

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bonny Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bonny Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bonny Worldwide had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Bonny Stock Analysis

When running Bonny Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Bonny Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bonny Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Bonny Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bonny Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bonny Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bonny Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.