LBI Capital (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.42
| 8494 Stock | 0.43 0.05 10.42% |
LBI |
LBI Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.42
The tendency of LBI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.42 or more in 90 days |
| 0.43 | 90 days | 0.42 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LBI Capital to drop to 0.42 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LBI Capital Bhd probability density function shows the probability of LBI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LBI Capital Bhd price to stay between 0.42 and its current price of 0.43 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LBI Capital will likely underperform. Additionally LBI Capital Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LBI Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LBI Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LBI Capital Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LBI Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LBI Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LBI Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LBI Capital Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LBI Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
LBI Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LBI Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LBI Capital Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LBI Capital Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LBI Capital Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LBI Capital Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
LBI Capital Technical Analysis
LBI Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LBI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LBI Capital Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing LBI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LBI Capital Predictive Forecast Models
LBI Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many LBI Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LBI Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LBI Capital Bhd
Checking the ongoing alerts about LBI Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LBI Capital Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LBI Capital Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LBI Capital Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LBI Capital Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |