LPI Capital (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.40
| 8621 Stock | 13.26 0.04 0.30% |
LPI |
LPI Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 12.40
The tendency of LPI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.40 or more in 90 days |
| 13.26 | 90 days | 12.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LPI Capital to drop to 12.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LPI Capital Bhd probability density function shows the probability of LPI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LPI Capital Bhd price to stay between 12.40 and its current price of 13.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LPI Capital Bhd has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LPI Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LPI Capital Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LPI Capital Bhd has an alpha of 0.0504, implying that it can generate a 0.0504 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LPI Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LPI Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPI Capital Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LPI Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LPI Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LPI Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LPI Capital Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LPI Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
LPI Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LPI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LPI Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LPI Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 398.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 278.9 M |
LPI Capital Technical Analysis
LPI Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LPI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LPI Capital Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing LPI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LPI Capital Predictive Forecast Models
LPI Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many LPI Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LPI Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards LPI Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, LPI Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from LPI Capital options trading.
Other Information on Investing in LPI Stock
LPI Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether LPI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LPI with respect to the benefits of owning LPI Capital security.