Altair Engineering (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.96
8A2 Stock | EUR 101.00 1.00 1.00% |
Altair |
Altair Engineering Target Price Odds to finish below 59.96
The tendency of Altair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 59.96 or more in 90 days |
101.00 | 90 days | 59.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altair Engineering to drop to 59.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Altair Engineering probability density function shows the probability of Altair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altair Engineering price to stay between 59.96 and its current price of 101.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Altair Engineering has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Altair Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altair Engineering will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Altair Engineering has an alpha of 0.3589, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Altair Engineering Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Altair Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altair Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Altair Engineering Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altair Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altair Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altair Engineering, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altair Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Altair Engineering Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altair Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altair Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company reported the revenue of 572.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 449.33 M. | |
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Altair Engineering Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altair Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altair Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.1 M |
Altair Engineering Technical Analysis
Altair Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altair Engineering. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altair Engineering Predictive Forecast Models
Altair Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altair Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altair Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altair Engineering
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altair Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altair Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 572.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 449.33 M. | |
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Altair Stock
When determining whether Altair Engineering is a strong investment it is important to analyze Altair Engineering's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Altair Engineering's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Altair Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Altair Engineering Backtesting, Altair Engineering Valuation, Altair Engineering Correlation, Altair Engineering Hype Analysis, Altair Engineering Volatility, Altair Engineering History as well as Altair Engineering Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Altair Stock please use our How to Invest in Altair Engineering guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.