CLOUDFLARE INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.59

8CF Stock  EUR 108.46  4.16  3.99%   
CLOUDFLARE INC's future price is the expected price of CLOUDFLARE INC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CLOUDFLARE INC A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CLOUDFLARE INC Backtesting, CLOUDFLARE INC Valuation, CLOUDFLARE INC Correlation, CLOUDFLARE INC Hype Analysis, CLOUDFLARE INC Volatility, CLOUDFLARE INC History as well as CLOUDFLARE INC Performance.
  
Please specify CLOUDFLARE INC's target price for which you would like CLOUDFLARE INC odds to be computed.

CLOUDFLARE INC Target Price Odds to finish below 65.59

The tendency of CLOUDFLARE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 65.59  or more in 90 days
 108.46 90 days 65.59 
roughly 2.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CLOUDFLARE INC to drop to € 65.59  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.81 (This CLOUDFLARE INC A probability density function shows the probability of CLOUDFLARE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CLOUDFLARE INC A price to stay between € 65.59  and its current price of €108.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CLOUDFLARE INC has a beta of 0.6. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CLOUDFLARE INC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CLOUDFLARE INC A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CLOUDFLARE INC A has an alpha of 0.5509, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CLOUDFLARE INC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CLOUDFLARE INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CLOUDFLARE INC A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.48108.46111.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.61117.99120.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.24104.22107.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.53108.00113.47
Details

CLOUDFLARE INC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CLOUDFLARE INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CLOUDFLARE INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CLOUDFLARE INC A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CLOUDFLARE INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
11.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

CLOUDFLARE INC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CLOUDFLARE INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CLOUDFLARE INC A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 656.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (260.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

CLOUDFLARE INC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CLOUDFLARE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CLOUDFLARE INC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CLOUDFLARE INC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding323.6 M
Short Long Term Debt12.1 M

CLOUDFLARE INC Technical Analysis

CLOUDFLARE INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CLOUDFLARE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CLOUDFLARE INC A. In general, you should focus on analyzing CLOUDFLARE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CLOUDFLARE INC Predictive Forecast Models

CLOUDFLARE INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many CLOUDFLARE INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CLOUDFLARE INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CLOUDFLARE INC A

Checking the ongoing alerts about CLOUDFLARE INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CLOUDFLARE INC A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 656.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (260.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for CLOUDFLARE Stock Analysis

When running CLOUDFLARE INC's price analysis, check to measure CLOUDFLARE INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CLOUDFLARE INC is operating at the current time. Most of CLOUDFLARE INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CLOUDFLARE INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CLOUDFLARE INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CLOUDFLARE INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.