ATLAND SA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.17
| 8L9 Stock | EUR 41.60 0.40 0.97% |
ATLAND |
ATLAND SA Target Price Odds to finish over 40.17
The tendency of ATLAND Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 40.17 in 90 days |
| 41.60 | 90 days | 40.17 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATLAND SA to stay above € 40.17 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This ATLAND SA INH probability density function shows the probability of ATLAND Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATLAND SA INH price to stay between € 40.17 and its current price of €41.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ATLAND SA INH has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ATLAND SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATLAND SA INH is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATLAND SA INH has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ATLAND SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATLAND SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATLAND SA INH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATLAND SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATLAND SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATLAND SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATLAND SA INH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATLAND SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0076 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
ATLAND SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATLAND SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATLAND SA INH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATLAND SA INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ATLAND SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATLAND Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATLAND SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATLAND SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0417 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.75 | |
| Shares Float | 435.2 K |
ATLAND SA Technical Analysis
ATLAND SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATLAND Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATLAND SA INH. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATLAND Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATLAND SA Predictive Forecast Models
ATLAND SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATLAND SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATLAND SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATLAND SA INH
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATLAND SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATLAND SA INH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATLAND SA INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ATLAND Stock
ATLAND SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATLAND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATLAND with respect to the benefits of owning ATLAND SA security.