East Asia (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.0

900110 Stock  KRW 63.00  1.00  1.56%   
East Asia's future price is the expected price of East Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of East Asia Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out East Asia Backtesting, East Asia Valuation, East Asia Correlation, East Asia Hype Analysis, East Asia Volatility, East Asia History as well as East Asia Performance.
  
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East Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 87.0

The tendency of East Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 87.00  after 90 days
 63.00 90 days 87.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of East Asia to stay under W 87.00  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This East Asia Holdings probability density function shows the probability of East Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of East Asia Holdings price to stay between its current price of W 63.00  and W 87.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon East Asia has a beta of 0.0646. This suggests as returns on the market go up, East Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding East Asia Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally East Asia Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   East Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for East Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as East Asia Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.7963.0065.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.2355.4469.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.3564.5666.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.8366.7572.67
Details

East Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. East Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the East Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold East Asia Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of East Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

East Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of East Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for East Asia Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Asia Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

East Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of East Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential East Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. East Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding170.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

East Asia Technical Analysis

East Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. East Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of East Asia Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing East Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

East Asia Predictive Forecast Models

East Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many East Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary East Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about East Asia Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about East Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for East Asia Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Asia Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in East Stock

East Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether East Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in East with respect to the benefits of owning East Asia security.