Organic Tea (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 73.02

900300 Stock   68.00  0.00  0.00%   
Organic Tea's future price is the expected price of Organic Tea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Organic Tea Cosmetics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Organic Tea Backtesting, Organic Tea Valuation, Organic Tea Correlation, Organic Tea Hype Analysis, Organic Tea Volatility, Organic Tea History as well as Organic Tea Performance.
  
Please specify Organic Tea's target price for which you would like Organic Tea odds to be computed.

Organic Tea Target Price Odds to finish over 73.02

The tendency of Organic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  73.02  or more in 90 days
 68.00 90 days 73.02 
about 55.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Organic Tea to move over  73.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 55.73 (This Organic Tea Cosmetics probability density function shows the probability of Organic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Organic Tea Cosmetics price to stay between its current price of  68.00  and  73.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Organic Tea Cosmetics has a beta of -0.51. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Organic Tea are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Organic Tea Cosmetics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Organic Tea Cosmetics has an alpha of 0.1064, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Organic Tea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Organic Tea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Organic Tea Cosmetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.0668.0073.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.0663.0068.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.7158.6564.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.6869.7975.90
Details

Organic Tea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Organic Tea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Organic Tea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Organic Tea Cosmetics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Organic Tea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.51
σ
Overall volatility
9.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Organic Tea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Organic Tea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Organic Tea Cosmetics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Organic Tea had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Organic Tea Technical Analysis

Organic Tea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Organic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Organic Tea Cosmetics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Organic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Organic Tea Predictive Forecast Models

Organic Tea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Organic Tea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Organic Tea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Organic Tea Cosmetics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Organic Tea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Organic Tea Cosmetics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Organic Tea had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Organic Stock

Organic Tea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Organic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Organic with respect to the benefits of owning Organic Tea security.