Shanghai Shibei (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.34

900902 Stock   0.20  0.01  5.26%   
Shanghai Shibei's future price is the expected price of Shanghai Shibei instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shanghai Shibei Hi Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shanghai Shibei Backtesting, Shanghai Shibei Valuation, Shanghai Shibei Correlation, Shanghai Shibei Hype Analysis, Shanghai Shibei Volatility, Shanghai Shibei History as well as Shanghai Shibei Performance.
  
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Shanghai Shibei Target Price Odds to finish over 14.34

The tendency of Shanghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.34  or more in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 14.34 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shanghai Shibei to move over  14.34  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Shanghai Shibei Hi Tech probability density function shows the probability of Shanghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shanghai Shibei Hi price to stay between its current price of  0.20  and  14.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Shanghai Shibei will likely underperform. Additionally Shanghai Shibei Hi Tech has an alpha of 0.665, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shanghai Shibei Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Shibei

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Shibei Hi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.204.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.184.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.214.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.190.20
Details

Shanghai Shibei Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shanghai Shibei is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shanghai Shibei's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shanghai Shibei Hi Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shanghai Shibei within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Shanghai Shibei Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shanghai Shibei for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shanghai Shibei Hi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shanghai Shibei Hi has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Shanghai Shibei Hi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (177.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 555.37 M.
Shanghai Shibei generates negative cash flow from operations

Shanghai Shibei Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shanghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shanghai Shibei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Shibei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Dividends Paid361.5 M
Shares FloatB

Shanghai Shibei Technical Analysis

Shanghai Shibei's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shanghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shanghai Shibei Hi Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shanghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shanghai Shibei Predictive Forecast Models

Shanghai Shibei's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shanghai Shibei's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shanghai Shibei's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shanghai Shibei Hi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shanghai Shibei for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shanghai Shibei Hi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shanghai Shibei Hi has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Shanghai Shibei Hi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (177.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 555.37 M.
Shanghai Shibei generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Shibei financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Shibei security.