TOPPS TILES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.432
| 929 Stock | EUR 0.45 0.01 2.17% |
TOPPS |
TOPPS TILES Target Price Odds to finish over 0.432
The tendency of TOPPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.43 in 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 0.43 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TOPPS TILES to stay above € 0.43 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TOPPS TILES PLC probability density function shows the probability of TOPPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TOPPS TILES PLC price to stay between € 0.43 and its current price of €0.45 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon TOPPS TILES has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TOPPS TILES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TOPPS TILES PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TOPPS TILES PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TOPPS TILES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TOPPS TILES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOPPS TILES PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TOPPS TILES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TOPPS TILES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TOPPS TILES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TOPPS TILES PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TOPPS TILES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
TOPPS TILES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TOPPS TILES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TOPPS TILES PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TOPPS TILES PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has accumulated 114.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.64, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TOPPS TILES PLC has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TOPPS TILES until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TOPPS TILES's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TOPPS TILES PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TOPPS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TOPPS TILES's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 247.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.42 M. | |
| About 46.0% of TOPPS TILES shares are owned by insiders or employees |
TOPPS TILES Technical Analysis
TOPPS TILES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TOPPS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TOPPS TILES PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing TOPPS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TOPPS TILES Predictive Forecast Models
TOPPS TILES's time-series forecasting models is one of many TOPPS TILES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TOPPS TILES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TOPPS TILES PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about TOPPS TILES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TOPPS TILES PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TOPPS TILES PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TOPPS TILES PLC has accumulated 114.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.64, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TOPPS TILES PLC has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TOPPS TILES until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TOPPS TILES's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TOPPS TILES PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TOPPS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TOPPS TILES's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 247.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.42 M. | |
| About 46.0% of TOPPS TILES shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in TOPPS Stock
TOPPS TILES financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOPPS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOPPS with respect to the benefits of owning TOPPS TILES security.