ROMERIKE SPAREBANK (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.74
| 92I Stock | EUR 10.76 0.05 0.47% |
ROMERIKE |
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Target Price Odds to finish below 7.74
The tendency of ROMERIKE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.74 or more in 90 days |
| 10.76 | 90 days | 7.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROMERIKE SPAREBANK to drop to € 7.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ROMERIKE SPAREBANK NK probability density function shows the probability of ROMERIKE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ROMERIKE SPAREBANK price to stay between € 7.74 and its current price of €10.76 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ROMERIKE SPAREBANK has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ROMERIKE SPAREBANK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ROMERIKE SPAREBANK NK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ROMERIKE SPAREBANK NK has an alpha of 0.0824, implying that it can generate a 0.0824 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ROMERIKE SPAREBANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROMERIKE SPAREBANK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROMERIKE SPAREBANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROMERIKE SPAREBANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROMERIKE SPAREBANK NK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROMERIKE SPAREBANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ROMERIKE SPAREBANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROMERIKE SPAREBANK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Technical Analysis
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROMERIKE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROMERIKE SPAREBANK NK. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROMERIKE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK Predictive Forecast Models
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROMERIKE SPAREBANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROMERIKE SPAREBANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ROMERIKE SPAREBANK
Checking the ongoing alerts about ROMERIKE SPAREBANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROMERIKE SPAREBANK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ROMERIKE Stock
ROMERIKE SPAREBANK financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROMERIKE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROMERIKE with respect to the benefits of owning ROMERIKE SPAREBANK security.