STELLA-JONES INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.34
| 97S Stock | EUR 47.00 1.40 2.89% |
STELLA-JONES |
STELLA-JONES INC Target Price Odds to finish below 42.34
The tendency of STELLA-JONES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 42.34 or more in 90 days |
| 47.00 | 90 days | 42.34 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STELLA-JONES INC to drop to € 42.34 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This STELLA JONES INC probability density function shows the probability of STELLA-JONES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STELLA JONES INC price to stay between € 42.34 and its current price of €47.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon STELLA JONES INC has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding STELLA-JONES INC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STELLA JONES INC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STELLA JONES INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. STELLA-JONES INC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STELLA-JONES INC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STELLA JONES INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STELLA-JONES INC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STELLA-JONES INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STELLA-JONES INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STELLA JONES INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STELLA-JONES INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
STELLA-JONES INC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STELLA-JONES INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STELLA JONES INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| STELLA JONES INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
STELLA-JONES INC Technical Analysis
STELLA-JONES INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STELLA-JONES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STELLA JONES INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing STELLA-JONES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STELLA-JONES INC Predictive Forecast Models
STELLA-JONES INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many STELLA-JONES INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STELLA-JONES INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about STELLA JONES INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about STELLA-JONES INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STELLA JONES INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| STELLA JONES INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in STELLA-JONES Stock
STELLA-JONES INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether STELLA-JONES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STELLA-JONES with respect to the benefits of owning STELLA-JONES INC security.