OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.58

98Y Stock   0.64  0.08  11.11%   
OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's future price is the expected price of OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OPERADDSITMEXA1 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's target price for which you would like OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 odds to be computed.

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Target Price Odds to finish over 3.58

The tendency of OPERADDSITMEXA1 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.58  or more in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 3.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 to move over  3.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This OPERADDSITMEXA1 01 probability density function shows the probability of OPERADDSITMEXA1 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 price to stay between its current price of  0.64  and  3.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 has a beta of 0.0995. This suggests as returns on the market go up, OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OPERADDSITMEXA1 01 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OPERADDSITMEXA1 01 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OPERADDSITMEXA1 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Technical Analysis

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OPERADDSITMEXA1 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OPERADDSITMEXA1 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing OPERADDSITMEXA1 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 Predictive Forecast Models

OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's time-series forecasting models is one of many OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01

Checking the ongoing alerts about OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OPERADDSITMEXA1 -01 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock