Nak Sealing (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 117.78

9942 Stock  TWD 117.00  0.50  0.43%   
Nak Sealing's future price is the expected price of Nak Sealing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nak Sealing Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nak Sealing Backtesting, Nak Sealing Valuation, Nak Sealing Correlation, Nak Sealing Hype Analysis, Nak Sealing Volatility, Nak Sealing History as well as Nak Sealing Performance.
  
Please specify Nak Sealing's target price for which you would like Nak Sealing odds to be computed.

Nak Sealing Target Price Odds to finish over 117.78

The tendency of Nak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 117.78  or more in 90 days
 117.00 90 days 117.78 
about 7.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nak Sealing to move over NT$ 117.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.02 (This Nak Sealing Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Nak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nak Sealing Technologies price to stay between its current price of NT$ 117.00  and NT$ 117.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nak Sealing has a beta of 0.0034. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nak Sealing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nak Sealing Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nak Sealing Technologies has an alpha of 0.0502, implying that it can generate a 0.0502 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nak Sealing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nak Sealing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nak Sealing Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.22116.50117.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.85137.17138.45
Details

Nak Sealing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nak Sealing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nak Sealing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nak Sealing Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nak Sealing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Nak Sealing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nak Sealing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nak Sealing Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Nak Sealing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nak Sealing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nak Sealing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.2 M

Nak Sealing Technical Analysis

Nak Sealing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nak Sealing Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nak Sealing Predictive Forecast Models

Nak Sealing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nak Sealing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nak Sealing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nak Sealing Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nak Sealing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nak Sealing Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Nak Stock Analysis

When running Nak Sealing's price analysis, check to measure Nak Sealing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nak Sealing is operating at the current time. Most of Nak Sealing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nak Sealing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nak Sealing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nak Sealing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.