AOYAMA TRADING (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.98
| 9B7 Stock | EUR 13.50 0.10 0.75% |
AOYAMA |
AOYAMA TRADING Target Price Odds to finish below 4.98
The tendency of AOYAMA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.98 or more in 90 days |
| 13.50 | 90 days | 4.98 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AOYAMA TRADING to drop to € 4.98 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AOYAMA TRADING probability density function shows the probability of AOYAMA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AOYAMA TRADING price to stay between € 4.98 and its current price of €13.5 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AOYAMA TRADING has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AOYAMA TRADING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AOYAMA TRADING will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AOYAMA TRADING has an alpha of 0.7696, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AOYAMA TRADING Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AOYAMA TRADING
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AOYAMA TRADING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AOYAMA TRADING Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AOYAMA TRADING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AOYAMA TRADING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AOYAMA TRADING, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AOYAMA TRADING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
AOYAMA TRADING Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AOYAMA TRADING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AOYAMA TRADING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AOYAMA TRADING appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AOYAMA TRADING has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 175.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (38.89 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.71 B. | |
| AOYAMA TRADING has accumulated about 53.02 B in cash with (6.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
AOYAMA TRADING Technical Analysis
AOYAMA TRADING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AOYAMA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AOYAMA TRADING. In general, you should focus on analyzing AOYAMA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AOYAMA TRADING Predictive Forecast Models
AOYAMA TRADING's time-series forecasting models is one of many AOYAMA TRADING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AOYAMA TRADING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AOYAMA TRADING
Checking the ongoing alerts about AOYAMA TRADING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AOYAMA TRADING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AOYAMA TRADING appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AOYAMA TRADING has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 175.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (38.89 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.71 B. | |
| AOYAMA TRADING has accumulated about 53.02 B in cash with (6.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in AOYAMA Stock
AOYAMA TRADING financial ratios help investors to determine whether AOYAMA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AOYAMA with respect to the benefits of owning AOYAMA TRADING security.