USWE SPORTS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.91

9GY Stock   0.76  0.01  1.33%   
USWE SPORTS's future price is the expected price of USWE SPORTS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of USWE SPORTS AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out USWE SPORTS Backtesting, USWE SPORTS Valuation, USWE SPORTS Correlation, USWE SPORTS Hype Analysis, USWE SPORTS Volatility, USWE SPORTS History as well as USWE SPORTS Performance.
  
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USWE SPORTS Target Price Odds to finish over 3.91

The tendency of USWE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.91  or more in 90 days
 0.76 90 days 3.91 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USWE SPORTS to move over  3.91  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This USWE SPORTS AB probability density function shows the probability of USWE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of USWE SPORTS AB price to stay between its current price of  0.76  and  3.91  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon USWE SPORTS has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, USWE SPORTS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding USWE SPORTS AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally USWE SPORTS AB has an alpha of 0.4538, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   USWE SPORTS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for USWE SPORTS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USWE SPORTS AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.763.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.603.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.713.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.700.85
Details

USWE SPORTS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USWE SPORTS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USWE SPORTS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USWE SPORTS AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USWE SPORTS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

USWE SPORTS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USWE SPORTS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USWE SPORTS AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USWE SPORTS AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
USWE SPORTS AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
USWE SPORTS AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

USWE SPORTS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USWE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential USWE SPORTS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USWE SPORTS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float1.4 M

USWE SPORTS Technical Analysis

USWE SPORTS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USWE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USWE SPORTS AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing USWE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

USWE SPORTS Predictive Forecast Models

USWE SPORTS's time-series forecasting models is one of many USWE SPORTS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary USWE SPORTS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about USWE SPORTS AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about USWE SPORTS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for USWE SPORTS AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USWE SPORTS AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
USWE SPORTS AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
USWE SPORTS AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in USWE Stock

USWE SPORTS financial ratios help investors to determine whether USWE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in USWE with respect to the benefits of owning USWE SPORTS security.