GAMING FAC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.71
| 9JU Stock | EUR 1.63 0.04 2.40% |
GAMING |
GAMING FAC Target Price Odds to finish below 2.71
The tendency of GAMING Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 2.71 after 90 days |
| 1.63 | 90 days | 2.71 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GAMING FAC to stay under € 2.71 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This GAMING FAC SA probability density function shows the probability of GAMING Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GAMING FAC SA price to stay between its current price of € 1.63 and € 2.71 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GAMING FAC has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, GAMING FAC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GAMING FAC SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GAMING FAC SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GAMING FAC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GAMING FAC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GAMING FAC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GAMING FAC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GAMING FAC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GAMING FAC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GAMING FAC SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GAMING FAC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
GAMING FAC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GAMING FAC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GAMING FAC SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GAMING FAC SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GAMING FAC SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| GAMING FAC SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GAMING FAC SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
GAMING FAC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GAMING Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GAMING FAC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GAMING FAC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 2.4 M |
GAMING FAC Technical Analysis
GAMING FAC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GAMING Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GAMING FAC SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing GAMING Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GAMING FAC Predictive Forecast Models
GAMING FAC's time-series forecasting models is one of many GAMING FAC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GAMING FAC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GAMING FAC SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about GAMING FAC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GAMING FAC SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GAMING FAC SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GAMING FAC SA may become a speculative penny stock | |
| GAMING FAC SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GAMING FAC SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in GAMING Stock
GAMING FAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether GAMING Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GAMING with respect to the benefits of owning GAMING FAC security.