MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.4
| 9MDA Stock | EUR 39.00 1.00 2.50% |
MEITUAN |
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Target Price Odds to finish below 41.4
The tendency of MEITUAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 41.40 after 90 days |
| 39.00 | 90 days | 41.40 | about 71.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B to stay under € 41.40 after 90 days from now is about 71.06 (This MEITUAN UNSPADR2B probability density function shows the probability of MEITUAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B price to stay between its current price of € 39.00 and € 41.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MEITUAN UNSPADR2B has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MEITUAN UNSPADR2B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MEITUAN UNSPADR2B has an alpha of 0.873, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MEITUAN UNSPADR2B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Technical Analysis
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MEITUAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MEITUAN UNSPADR2B. In general, you should focus on analyzing MEITUAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B Predictive Forecast Models
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B's time-series forecasting models is one of many MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B
Checking the ongoing alerts about MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in MEITUAN Stock
MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B financial ratios help investors to determine whether MEITUAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MEITUAN with respect to the benefits of owning MEITUAN UNSPADR/2B security.