Metallic Minerals (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.12

9MM1 Stock   0.11  0.01  10.00%   
Metallic Minerals' future price is the expected price of Metallic Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metallic Minerals Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metallic Minerals Backtesting, Metallic Minerals Valuation, Metallic Minerals Correlation, Metallic Minerals Hype Analysis, Metallic Minerals Volatility, Metallic Minerals History as well as Metallic Minerals Performance.
  
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Metallic Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.12

The tendency of Metallic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.12  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.12 
about 70.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metallic Minerals to move over  0.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.66 (This Metallic Minerals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Metallic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metallic Minerals Corp price to stay between its current price of  0.11  and  0.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metallic Minerals Corp has a beta of -1.08. This suggests Additionally Metallic Minerals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Metallic Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metallic Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metallic Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.118.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.118.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.118.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.140.19
Details

Metallic Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metallic Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metallic Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metallic Minerals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metallic Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Metallic Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metallic Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metallic Minerals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metallic Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metallic Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Metallic Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metallic Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Metallic Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations

Metallic Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metallic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metallic Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metallic Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.9 M

Metallic Minerals Technical Analysis

Metallic Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metallic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metallic Minerals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metallic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metallic Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Metallic Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Metallic Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metallic Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metallic Minerals Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metallic Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metallic Minerals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metallic Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metallic Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Metallic Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metallic Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Metallic Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Metallic Stock Analysis

When running Metallic Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Metallic Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metallic Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Metallic Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metallic Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metallic Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metallic Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.