WIIT SPA (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.35
| 9PC Stock | 19.42 0.42 2.21% |
WIIT |
WIIT SPA Target Price Odds to finish below 17.35
The tendency of WIIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.35 or more in 90 days |
| 19.42 | 90 days | 17.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WIIT SPA to drop to 17.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This WIIT SPA probability density function shows the probability of WIIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WIIT SPA price to stay between 17.35 and its current price of 19.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon WIIT SPA has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, WIIT SPA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WIIT SPA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WIIT SPA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. WIIT SPA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WIIT SPA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WIIT SPA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WIIT SPA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WIIT SPA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WIIT SPA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WIIT SPA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WIIT SPA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
WIIT SPA Technical Analysis
WIIT SPA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WIIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WIIT SPA. In general, you should focus on analyzing WIIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WIIT SPA Predictive Forecast Models
WIIT SPA's time-series forecasting models is one of many WIIT SPA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WIIT SPA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards WIIT SPA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, WIIT SPA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from WIIT SPA options trading.