GLOBAL COSMED (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.67
| 9PU Stock | EUR 1.07 0.04 3.60% |
GLOBAL |
GLOBAL COSMED Target Price Odds to finish below 0.67
The tendency of GLOBAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.67 or more in 90 days |
| 1.07 | 90 days | 0.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GLOBAL COSMED to drop to € 0.67 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GLOBAL MED SA probability density function shows the probability of GLOBAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GLOBAL MED SA price to stay between € 0.67 and its current price of €1.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GLOBAL MED SA has a beta of -0.7. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GLOBAL COSMED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GLOBAL MED SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GLOBAL MED SA has an alpha of 0.4815, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GLOBAL COSMED Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GLOBAL COSMED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GLOBAL MED SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GLOBAL COSMED Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GLOBAL COSMED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GLOBAL COSMED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GLOBAL MED SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GLOBAL COSMED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
GLOBAL COSMED Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GLOBAL COSMED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GLOBAL MED SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GLOBAL MED SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GLOBAL MED SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GLOBAL COSMED until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GLOBAL COSMED's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GLOBAL MED SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GLOBAL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GLOBAL COSMED's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
GLOBAL COSMED Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GLOBAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GLOBAL COSMED's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GLOBAL COSMED's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0139 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.01 | |
| Shares Float | 10.3 M |
GLOBAL COSMED Technical Analysis
GLOBAL COSMED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GLOBAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GLOBAL MED SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing GLOBAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GLOBAL COSMED Predictive Forecast Models
GLOBAL COSMED's time-series forecasting models is one of many GLOBAL COSMED's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GLOBAL COSMED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GLOBAL MED SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about GLOBAL COSMED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GLOBAL MED SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GLOBAL MED SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GLOBAL MED SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GLOBAL COSMED until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GLOBAL COSMED's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GLOBAL MED SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GLOBAL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GLOBAL COSMED's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in GLOBAL Stock
GLOBAL COSMED financial ratios help investors to determine whether GLOBAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GLOBAL with respect to the benefits of owning GLOBAL COSMED security.